000
ACUS02 KWNS 201647
SWODY2
SPC AC 201645

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across parts of
the Gulf Coast region, but no severe threat is expected.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
On Sunday, an elongated positive-tilt trough will gradually deepen
as it moves from the OH/Mid MS/Lower MO Valleys into the TN Valley
and coastal Southeastern states, providing gradual cooling aloft.

At the surface, a large area of high pressure will be centered over
the central Plains, with northerly winds over the western Gulf of
Mexico and drying into the Southeast and Mid Atlantic behind a
front. This front will extend from just off the coastal Carolinas
into southern GA and the FL Panhandle, with a moist air mass to the
south.

Modest theta-e advection will occur near the cold front over FL and
GA, with gradual midlevel moistening. Lift for thunderstorms will be
focused mainly north of the boundary, as capping will exist south.
Weak instability will support scattered thunderstorms, but severe
weather is unlikely with poor lapse rates and weak lift.

..Jewell.. 04/20/2024

$$