National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS62 KTBW 121850
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
250 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Quiet weather is expected for the next several days as surface high
pressure moves across the area and eventually out into the western
Atlantic Ocean by Monday. As the high moves out into the Atlantic
Ocean low level winds will veer to east to southeast leading to a
slow increase in moisture through the middle of next week, but no
rain is in the forecast until at least the end of next week.
Therefore, our typical mid-April warm and dry weather is expected.
However, over the weekend temperatures will start out kind of
chilly, especially across the Nature Coast where 40`s are expected
both mornings. Otherwise, we`ll see temperatures close to normal
into Monday, then begin to climb several degrees above normal by
the middle of next week with daytime highs around 90 over inland
areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

VFR conditions are expected for the TAF forecast period. Northwest
to north winds at 10 to 15 knots will continue into early this
evening, then shift to north to northeast at 5 to 10 knots later
this evening into Saturday morning before shifting back to
northwest at around 10 knots near the coast Saturday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

The westerly swell will shift to northwesterly tonight and
gradually subside. Thus, the Small Craft Advisory will be allowed
to expire this evening, but the high risk of rip currents will
persist into Saturday. Conditions will continue to improve into
next week as winds and seas subside with an afternoon sea breeze
expected to develop each afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

The dry airmass will hold over the region into early next week with
several hours of critical relative humidity expected each day,
especially over inland areas. Winds however are forecast to remain
low enough to preclude any Red Flag conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  59  80  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  58  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  56  80  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  57  80  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  46  80  49  84 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  61  79  63  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening
     for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Close