Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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591
FNAK51 PAFC 182314
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Gusty southeasterly gap winds today are expected to slowly
diminish through tonight. The pattern then turns wetter and
relatively cooler for Sunday and Monday with wetting rains likely
for much of Southcentral outside of typical downsloped areas,
including wetting rain potential for the Copper River Basin. While
not as strong as on Saturday, the gap winds return during the
afternoon Sunday.

AKZ101-191730-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           50           0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)   35 (-1)      51 (0)       36           45-54
RH % (24H TREND)   72-84 (-10)  37-49 (-5)   83           44-58
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 16-29 G44 SE 2-8       S 3-8        LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4898                      4082
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SE  9                     SW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37586                     31992
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           20           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   43 (+1)      58 (-1)      42           58
RH % (24H TREND)   77-83 (-4)   36-45 (-1)   80           42-49
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 4-22 G36  SW 3-8       S 2-8        LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5199                      4375
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SE  6                     SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               31302                     28203
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-191730-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           50           50           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   35 (0)       45-51 (-2)   35           44-52
RH % (24H TREND)   76-84 (-8)   38-53 (-3)   88           47-61
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 3-19 G33  S 2-7        SW 2-8       W 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5312                      4315
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SE  8                     W  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               43303                     27099
CWR                0            10           20           0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           30           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   43 (+3)      60 (-2)      41           58
RH % (24H TREND)   76-82 (-8)   40 (-1)      84           46
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 1-16 G26  SW 3-8       SW 2-8       SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              6225                      4924
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             E  6                      SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               50433                     35024
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-191730-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           60           30           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   40 (+1)      51-60 (+2)   37           50-58
RH % (24H TREND)   74-86 (-7)   33-44 (-8)   80-88        40-49
20FTWND(MPH)       E 6-22 G40   NE 2-8       S 3-5        W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5613                      5321
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NE 10                     SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               63235                     40518
CWR                50           0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           50           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   36-42 (+2)   57 (+3)      39           49-55
RH % (24H TREND)   77-87 (-7)   39-52 (-6)   82-90        49-58
20FTWND(MPH)       E 5-21 G35   N 4-11       W 3-7        SW 6-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5506                      4377
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             N 12                      SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66141                     36144
CWR                40           0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-191730-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  100          100          40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   29-35 (0)    41-50 (0)    33           42-54
RH % (24H TREND)   88-95 (0)    44-63 (-7)   90           44-64
20FTWND(MPH)       E 13-27 G42  E 5-12       E 2-6        LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3345                      4163
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             E 10                      W  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               25220                     29580
CWR                90           60           0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  100          100          50           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   36 (-1)      42-50 (0)    36           42-49
RH % (24H TREND)   99 (+3)      53-69 (-15)  86-93        60-72
20FTWND(MPH)       E 12-26 G36  NE 2-10      NW 1-7       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2140                      2583
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NE  8                     SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               23270                     17640
CWR                100          70           0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-191730-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SNOW         SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           70           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   23-30 (0)    31-44 (-7)   21-30        33-48
RH % (24H TREND)   75-89 (-3)   44-63 (0)    82-89        52-68
20FTWND(MPH)       S 2-14       S 4-17 G24   SW 3-12      W 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4342                      4425
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S 13                      W  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69516                     39825
CWR                0            40           40           20
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           60           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   35 (0)       50 (-10)     37           55
RH % (24H TREND)   68-79 (-3)   38-47 (+14)  85           44-50
20FTWND(MPH)       S 6-15 G24   S 3-10 G18   S 3-12 G20   S 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5216                      4319
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S 13                      SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66043                     31848
CWR                0            30           50           20
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-191730-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
314 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   34 (0)       45-51 (-4)   35           47-54
RH % (24H TREND)   73-84 (+2)   42-52 (-1)   82-88        45-58
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 0-7       S 2-9        SW 3-9       SW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4621                      4133
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  7                      SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               34025                     31797
CWR                0            0            20           0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           30           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   41 (+1)      56-62 (0)    40           59
RH % (24H TREND)   79-85 (0)    34-41 (0)    77-84        40-47
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-8       NW 2-6       SW 3-7       S 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5715                      5504
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  6                      S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               43525                     41994
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$