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000
FNUS73 KBIS 191539
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Minot Spring 2024...US FWS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1039 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Overall look for clear, dry, and warming conditions across the fire area this
weekend. Saturday will be clear with temperatures warming into the lower 50s,
and humidity values lowering into the mid 20s. Winds will be northwest and could
gust near 20 mph in the afternoon. Saturday night sees northwest winds become
a steady west wind, while mainly clear skies and humidity recovery near 70
percent is also expected. Sunday is mainly clear again, with some increased
clouds in the late afternoon. Temperatures in the lower 60s will bring
humidity values in the 20s. There will be a notable wind shift on Sunday.
West winds to start the day will become southwest in the early afternoon, then
mainly south mid to late afternoon. Sustained winds will generally be 10 to 15
mph while gusts remain at or below 20 mph.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 10 to 16 mph
                    with gusts near 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (95600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     8      7      7      9      10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............24     25     34     41     46     48
RH..............74     74     54     37     31     29
20 ft wind......WNW 10 WNW 11 NW 13  NW 15  NW 16  NW 16
20 ft wind gust.14     15     17     19     20     10
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1100   2300   3600   4400   5000
Transport wind..W 15   W 16   W 20   NW 20  NW 22  NW 24
Dispr kt-ft/1K..8      15     40     61     78     96

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west winds 6 to 12 mph
                    after sunset and through the night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 22 mph shifting to the west
                    10 to 15 mph after sunset and through the night.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (92100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........7         4         3         2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............50        42        33        30
RH..............26        40        56        62
20 FT wind......NW 14G19  W 9G14    W 8G12    W 8G11
Mix hgt (ft)....4900      1900      400       400
Transport wind..NW 22     NW 15     W 12      W 12
Dispr kt-ft/1K..92        25        4         4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy late in the day.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West southwest winds 6 to 12 mph, shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 12 mph in the early afternoon, then
                    becoming south 10 to 15 mph after 1500. Wind gusts
                    in the afternoon will generally be 20 mph or less.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 10
                    to 20 mph in the early afternoon, then becoming
                    south southwest 10 to 20 mph after 1500. Wind gusts
                    in the afternoon will generally be 25 mph or less.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (78300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........2         3         6         11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............27        37        51        57
RH..............68        49        29        24
20 FT wind......W 7G10    W 6G9     SW 8G11   S 12G18
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1300      3600      5300
Transport wind..W 10      W 10      SW 12     SSW 15
Dispr kt-ft/1K..3         11        37        70

$$
Forecaster...ANGLIN
Requested by...Bela Harrington
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411399.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bela_harrington@fws.gov