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000
FNUS71 KCTP 160751
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for USACE 438...Pa Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
351 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasantly warm today with low
humidity and light wind. Clouds will increase tonight with
periods of light rain on Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
Min Humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5-10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the north late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................55 to 61.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  5   7   8   10  11  13  13  13  14
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  49  54  58  61  63  65  66  67  68
RH................  54  46  40  35  31  28  27  26  25
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   5   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   7   10  10  11  11  10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.7 3.5 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  12  16  18  20  18  18  17  16  15
LVORI.............  2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  55  55  55  61  61  61  57  57  57
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 41.
Max Humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the east 5 to 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 6.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  14  14  15  20  26  31  37  42  48  54  59  65
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  65  62  55  52  49  47  45  44  43  43  43  42
RH................  29  32  43  46  52  53  58  60  62  62  60  62
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   5   5   5   4   3   3   2   1   2   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   8   7   6   6   4   4       2           4
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.7 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  14  10  10  10  9   7   7   7   7   7   8   8
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   4   4   4
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 57.
Min Humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south.
Mixing Height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 to 27.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  71  76  82  85  88  91  94  97  100 100 100 100
Weather Cov.......          SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type......          RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  43  43  45  48  50  53  53  54  54  55  55  56
RH................  62  62  62  63  66  69  74  77  83  80  80  80
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   5   6   6   8   10  10  10  10  11  11  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   12  12  15  15  15  14  14  14  15  15
LVORI.............  3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3
ADI...............  13  13  13  27  27  27  26  26  26  22  22  22
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Steve Sneath
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410985.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ssneath@pa.gov