254
FNUS28 KWNS 022135
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0433 PM CDT Thu May 02 2024

Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected over the
weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and into early next week
a strong trough is expected to develop across the western CONUS with
strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and lee cyclogenesis in
the Plains. This will result in several days of severe weather
concern across portions of the southern High Plains.

...D4/Sun-D7/Wed - Southern High Plains...
Operational and ensemble guidance has come into agreement for
several days of strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and a
large lee cyclone in the central/northern Plains. This pattern will
support several days of Critical fire weather conditions. Some dry
and breezy conditions may begin as early as Sunday afternoon as
stronger mid-level flow emerges across New Mexico ahead of the
approaching mid-level trough. The strongest winds are likely on
Monday and Tuesday when sustained winds over 30 mph and relative
humidity in the single digits appears likely. At this time it
appears Wednesday should be the last day of significant fire weather
concern as confidence is growing for a strong cold front to surge
south across the Plains and bring cooler weather toward the end of
next week.

..Bentley.. 05/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$