Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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516
FNUS53 KDTX 302008
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
408 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

.DISCUSSION...Limited fire weather concern exists over the next few
days as mixing depths are expected to be limited. Minimum RHs values
Wednesday and Thursday are expected to be in the middle 30s to lower
40s percent rage. A stable atmosphere with relatively shallow
moisture is expected to result in a dry frontal passage on
Wednesday. The next chance for precipitation will be on Friday as
frontal boundary pushes through the area.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-011415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
408 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4440-4940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (845).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South around 15 mph becoming west 20 to 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4940-5440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming west around
                    30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1481).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........76-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-011415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
408 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4560-5060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (870).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5210-5710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming west around
                    30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1524).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-011415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
408 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5220-5720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1062).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....46-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late evening and early morning, then becoming
                    south after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming west 15 to 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5240-5740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming west 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1456).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. East winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

CB