Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
050 FNUS74 KEPZ 282354 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for UNIT 74 AREA 3 RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 554 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on April 29. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... We will generally have a quiet week for fire weather. The winds the next couple of days will stay well below critical levels. By the middle of the week we see a little stronger winds, but winds will still be below critical levels. Min RH`s on Monday will be in the teens, but by midweek min RH`s will drop to near 10% or even a little lower. RH recoveries at night will be poor. I don`t see any strong wind events through the end of the week, but I also don`t see any chances for rain. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 68. Min humidity........13 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest 7 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the west in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (93400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........4 1 3 3 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............41 53 61 67 68 RH..............50 31 20 15 13 20 ft wind......NW 5 W 5 SW 7 SW 7 SW 9 20 ft wind gust.7 12 16 16 17 Mix hgt (ft)....3400 7200 7200 8600 8600 Transport wind..NW 7 W 9 W 9 SW 12 SW 12 Haines index....2 2 3 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..21 66 66 93 93 Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 38. Max humidity........46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 11 to 16 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (86900 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (5200 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........6 6 5 3 3 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............65 54 49 46 43 40 RH..............15 25 29 31 36 41 20 ft wind......SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 6 W 6 W 4 20 ft wind gust.20 20 21 12 12 9 Mix hgt (ft)....7900 7900 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..SW 16 SW 16 W 15 W 15 W 11 W 11 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..87 87 6 6 5 5 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........10 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 14 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (56000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (125300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 6 or very low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........4 3 3 3 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............38 52 66 73 RH..............46 29 15 11 20 FT wind......W 5G10 W 7G15 SW 9G17 SW 10G20 Mix hgt (ft)....3500 3500 8700 10000 Transport wind..W 14 W 14 W 15 W 14 Haines index....3 2 4 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..56 56 99 125 Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR GOOD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 12 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 11 mph. $$ Forecaster...BRICE Requested by...SILVER CITY RANGER DISTRICT Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412655.0/EPZ .DELDT 04/28/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV