099
FNUS74 KFWD 302157
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Owl...Usfws
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
457 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect Wednesday morning to start with some patchy fog, a low of
69, and an RH of 97%. Temperatures will peak at 82 and RH will
bottom out around 72% over the afternoon. South- southeast winds
will gradually increase tomorrow afternoon to around 15 mph with
gusts up to around 20-25 mph. Most of the afternoon should remain
dry, but there are low chances for isolated showers and storms
over late afternoon. The best rain chances for the burn site will
after 7 pm and through the overnight hours as a storm system moves
through. Hail, damaging winds, and heavy rain are the main
concerns. The rain chances should end a couple hours after
midnight. On Thursday, expect low isolated to scattered rain
chances, with best chances east of the burn site. Morning lows
will bottom out around 67 with 100% RH. The afternoon will feature
a high of 82 and an RH of 74%. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph
with occasional higher gusts will persist through Thursday.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  87  78  86  84  81  78  75  74  72  71  69
Weather cov.....    PTY PTY PTY             SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....    FOG FOG FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............69  69  69  70  72  74  76  77  79  80  81  81
RH..............93  93  93  90  87  84  79  79  74  74  72  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  12  12  13  12  13  14  14  14  15
20 FT wind gust.16  15  16  16  17  18  18  18  20  21  21  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  14  17  18  18  18  20  21  21  21  21  21
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  72  78  85  79  90  91  91  89  88  86  85
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp............80  78  76  74  73  72  71  70  70  69  69  69
RH..............74  79  87  93  93  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..15  15  14  14  14  15  15  14  14  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.23  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  21  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  20  18  18  21  21  21  20  18  16  15  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the morning, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds near 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  83  80  77  74  74  75  75  69  62  56  57
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............69  69  70  72  73  75  76  78  79  81  82  81
RH..............100 100 100 99  97  92  88  85  81  78  74  77
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.17  16  16  17  18  18  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  13  14  15  16  17  17  17  16  15
Haines index....2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Prater
Requested by...Mcneil
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412838.0/FWD
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brendon_mcneil@fws.gov