433
FXUS66 KHNX 061924
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1224 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024


&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1. Strong, gusty northwest winds will persist in the Mojave Desert
Slopes beginning late this afternoon through late Tuesday night.

2. A warming trend is expected through Sunday.

3. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Central
California will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of
year.

4. Dry weather will persist for the next several days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

We currently have a trough sitting off the coast of California with
a strong trough over Utah and Colorado. This current setup is
favoring a northwesterly flow leading to increased wind speeds over
the Mojave Desert Slopes because of a downslope effect leading to
a Wind Advisory from later this afternoon to late tomorrow night.
The trough currently over Utah and Colorado is amplifying and
is responsible for the severe weather happening across the
Plains this evening through late night.

Coming back out west to California, latest model ensembles are in
strong agreement of a ridge moving over the Pacific coast and is
strengthening. This strengthening ridge will keep conditions dry for
the San Joaquin Valley and will lead to a major warming trend
through the week until Sunday. The ridge will weaken a bit late
Sunday into next Monday. The probabilities for high
temperatures of at least 90 degrees take a major hike on
Thursday with a 20 to 40 percent chance for most of the Valley
with the exception of Bakersfield at 51 percent and Reedley at 2
percent. Probabilities increase on Friday to the 40 to 70
percent range for the Valley and will persist in the range for
Saturday and Sunday. The probabilities take a dip for next
Monday but will remain high at 30 to 55 percent probabilities of
a high temperature of at least 90 degrees.

Here are probabilities of maximum temperatures of 90 degrees or
higher for select locations in the San Joaquin Valley on Saturday,
May 11th, 2024:

Fresno - 66%
Bakersfield - 66%
Visalia - 66%
Hanford - 61%
Lemoore - 66%
Delano - 66%
Madera - 61%
Porterville - 61%
Merced - 56%
Reedley - 56%

&&


.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail throughout Central California for at
least the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...

None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Tuesday
for CAZ338.
&&

$$

JPK

weather.gov/hanford