Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
FNUS52 KILM 271934
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances increase tonight and Thursday with a cold front.
Breezy on Thursday as dry high pressure builds into the region.
High pressure will bring a warming trend through the weekend and
into early next week.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-281145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     90           90           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           61           39           70
Max/Min RH (%)        99           76           86           31
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  6        N  9 G25     NW  9 G26    NW  6 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SE  6        N 17 G31     NW  6        W 11 G21
Precip Amount         0.84         0.97         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       4            8
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         57/0600      1900         47/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          2            2            5            5
DSI                                1                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2700                      7800
Transport Wind (mph)               N 29                      NW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 78300                     202800
ADI Early             25 Fair      37 Fair      47 Gen Good  108 Very Good
ADI Late              15 Gen Poor  67 Good      7 Poor       121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            3
Max LVORI Late        5            4            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            2 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         4 Rain       2 Rain       7
Turner Stability      D            D            E            C

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-281145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     100          100          0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          52           59           39           70
Max/Min RH (%)        100          70           84           30
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  6        N 11 G29     NW  7 G22    NW  5 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  6 G19    N 15 G29     NW  4        W 11 G21
Precip Amount         1.43         0.65         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       10           7
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         55/0600      1900         47/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          2            3            5            5
DSI                                1                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2700                      7500
Transport Wind (mph)               N 26                      NW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 70200                     195000
ADI Early             30 Fair      45 Gen Good  54 Gen Good  98 Good
ADI Late              15 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good  7 Poor       127 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            4
Max LVORI Late        6            4            4            1
Min VSBY Early        3 Rain       3 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         2 Rain       3 Rain       7
Turner Stability      D            D            E            B

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-281145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     100          90           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           61           39           70
Max/Min RH (%)        100          70           84           31
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  5        N 10 G27     NW  7 G23    NW  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  5        N 15 G27     NW  4        W  9 G17
Precip Amount         0.96         0.52         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       9            6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         57/0600      1900         48/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          3            3            5            5
DSI                                1                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3200                      7200
Transport Wind (mph)               N 26                      W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 83200                     165600
ADI Early             24 Fair      48 Gen Good  61 Good      86 Good
ADI Late              13 Gen Poor  68 Good      7 Poor       108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            4            3
Max LVORI Late        6            4            4            1
Min VSBY Early        4 Rain       3 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         2 Rain       6 Rain       7
Turner Stability      D            D            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-281145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Clear        Clear
Precip Chance (%)     100          90           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          52           61           38           70
Max/Min RH (%)        100          60           79           28
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         N 11 G26     NW  6 G21    NW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  6 G18     N 15 G27     NW  4        W  9 G19
Precip Amount         1.37         0.33         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       12           5
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         55/0600      1900         46/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          3            4            5            5
DSI                                1                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    3500                      7600
Transport Wind (mph)               N 25                      W 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 87500                     182400
ADI Early             21 Fair      42 Gen Good  59 Gen Good  81 Good
ADI Late              17 Gen Poor  64 Good      7 Poor       116 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       8            5            3            4
Max LVORI Late        6            4            3            1
Min VSBY Early        2 Rain       4 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         3 Rain       7            7
Turner Stability      D            D            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...21


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.