Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 271934
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances increase tonight and Thursday with a cold front.
Breezy on Thursday as dry high pressure builds into the region.
High pressure will bring a warming trend through the weekend and
into early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-281145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 90 90 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 55 61 39 70
Max/Min RH (%) 99 76 86 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 6 N 9 G25 NW 9 G26 NW 6 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 N 17 G31 NW 6 W 11 G21
Precip Amount 0.84 0.97 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4 8
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 57/0600 1900 47/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 2 2 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 7800
Transport Wind (mph) N 29 NW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78300 202800
ADI Early 25 Fair 37 Fair 47 Gen Good 108 Very Good
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 67 Good 7 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 3
Max LVORI Late 5 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-281145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 100 100 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 52 59 39 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 70 84 30
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 6 N 11 G29 NW 7 G22 NW 5 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 G19 N 15 G29 NW 4 W 11 G21
Precip Amount 1.43 0.65 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 10 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 55/0600 1900 47/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 2 3 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 7500
Transport Wind (mph) N 26 NW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70200 195000
ADI Early 30 Fair 45 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 98 Good
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good 7 Poor 127 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 3 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D E B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-281145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 100 90 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 54 61 39 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 70 84 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 N 10 G27 NW 7 G23 NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 N 15 G27 NW 4 W 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.96 0.52 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 9 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 57/0600 1900 48/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 7200
Transport Wind (mph) N 26 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 165600
ADI Early 24 Fair 48 Gen Good 61 Good 86 Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 68 Good 7 Poor 108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 3
Max LVORI Late 6 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-281145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
334 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 100 90 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 3 1 1
Min/Max Temp 52 61 38 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 79 28
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 N 11 G26 NW 6 G21 NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 6 G18 N 15 G27 NW 4 W 9 G19
Precip Amount 1.37 0.33 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 12 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 55/0600 1900 46/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 4 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 7600
Transport Wind (mph) N 25 W 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87500 182400
ADI Early 21 Fair 42 Gen Good 59 Gen Good 81 Good
ADI Late 17 Gen Poor 64 Good 7 Poor 116 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 4 3 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21