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000
FXUS62 KMFL 191050
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
650 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 226 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Warm and dry conditions will continue through the short term
period as broad upper-level ridging and a weak surface high remain
in place over the region. Gradual moisture return and warm air
advection will continue as gentle southeasterly winds prevail,
enhancing warming across the region. Sea breezes along both the
Atlantic and Gulf coast will help moderate the heat some each
afternoon, but high temperatures could still reach the upper 80s
and even the lower 90s each day, especially over the
interior/southwest FL. Temperatures along the immediate coasts
will remain in the low-mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 226 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Rain chances return to the forecast during the extended period as
the weather regime changes and a frontal boundary approaches the
region early next week. Model guidance suggests this boundary will
become frontolytic in its approach as it loses support from the
upper-level pattern. Ahead of its approach on Sunday and Monday,
southerly winds should help enhance boundary layer moisture over
the region. Once it reaches South Florida, some guidance shows the
boundary stalling out somewhere over the region through the
middle of the week, which could provide just enough lift to
support a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
through this time period. The highest chances of showers and
storms still look to remain over the Lake Okeechobee region and
Palm Beach County, but this could change over time as this
solution remains highly uncertain.

With increased moisture and warm advection over the area,
temperatures through the period will remain warm across the area,
with highs consistently reaching the mid to upper 80s along the
coasts and the lower 90s across the interior sections.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

VFR through the period with light and variable wind until 14-16Z.
Wind will pick up out of the SE in the late morning hours. A Gulf
sea breeze will bring W/SW flow to KAPF by the afternoon. Light
and variable winds overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Gentle southeasterly winds will prevail across all local waters
to wrap up the week as a surface high over the western Atlantic
continues to shift eastward. Seas will generally remain 2 feet or
less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

A moderate rip current threat could be possible for Palm Beach
county beaches through the end of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            86  71  87  71 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     87  67  89  68 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        88  70  89  71 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        85  69  87  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  84  71  86  71 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  85  71  87  71 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   88  71  90  71 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  86  68  88  70 /   0   0  10   0
Boca Raton       86  69  88  70 /   0   0  10   0
Naples           86  69  87  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...Simmons