Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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809
FNUS74 KMOB 011027
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
527 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light surface and transport winds are expected today,
with Fair dispersions. A bit stronger winds are expected Thursday,
though Fair dispersions are again expected.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is possible this morning,
then again tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south 9 to
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 1 meters/second increasing to
                    1 to 3 meters/second in the morning, then
                    shifting to the southeast 4 to 5 meters/second
                    early in the afternoon shifting to the south
                    around 6 meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 26.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47  48  49  41  33  24  26  28  30  29
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  73  75  76  76  77  77  78  78  77
RH..............93  90  84  82  82  79  79  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   ESE SSE SSE S   S   S   SSW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   7   8   10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   9   10  13  16  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  ENE ENE E   ESE SE  SSE S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   6   6   8   8   10  12  13  13
Trans wind dir..NE  ENE ENE E   ESE SE  SSE S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).1   1   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6
Dispersion idx..5   6   9   13  18  22  25  25  24  24
LVORI...........7   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  27  29  32  34  36  38  40  46  52  58  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  75  73  73  73  72  72  71  71  70  71
RH..............79  84  84  87  87  87  90  90  93  93  97  93
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSE SE  ESE
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.16  14  13  9   7   7   6   6   6   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSE SE
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW SSE SE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..24  6   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    south 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-457 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  57  55  52  50  44  39  33  28  23  19  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  70  71  72  75  76  76  77  77  78  78  77
RH..............93  93  90  90  82  79  76  74  74  71  71  74
20 FT wind dir..ESE E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.6   7   9   10  13  14  16  16  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   6   6   7   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  10
Trans wind dir..SE  ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).1   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
Dispersion idx..3   6   7   10  17  22  28  33  34  34  32  32
LVORI...........8   7   6   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.11/MOB
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov