634
FNUS74 KMOB 021914
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
214 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions will persist through the next couple of days at
the burn site, though RH values will remain well above critical
thresholds. Transport winds will generally remain from the south
between 10 and 15 mph. Despite the higher transport winds, mixing
heights will remain low.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will be possible at
the burn site between 4 am and 10 am on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....30.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  44  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
Temp............78  78  77
RH..............76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE S
20 FT wind spd..12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.8 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE S
Transp wind spd.12  12  10
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE S
Trans spd (m/s).5   5   4
Dispersion idx..31  28  28
LVORI...........2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-244 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  43  45  47  49  53  58  62  60  58  56  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  74  74  72  74  72  72  72  72  71  71
RH..............76  82  84  84  90  84  90  90  90  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE SE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.13  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
Dispersion idx..28  5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 25.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  55  54  53  52  55  58  61  59  57  55  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  72  74  75  76  76  78  78  78  79  79  78
RH..............93  90  84  82  79  79  76  76  76  74  74  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SSE SSE S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.7   9   10  13  15  16  16  16  17  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SSE S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   8   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Trans wind dir..SE  E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SSE S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..4   7   8   14  17  21  25  27  27  25  23  23
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...73
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.14/MOB
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Robert_Vick@nps.gov,scworthi@gmail.com