701
FNUS73 KMPX 141444
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Pool 9 Rx...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
944 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on May 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s today and
RH will drop to 30-35 percent this afternoon. East winds around
10 mph expected throughout the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........70 at ignition...Max 71.
RH..................38 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /51300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /55500 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  71  71  70  68  64  60  56  54  51  50  48
RH..............38  36  35  36  39  45  51  57  64  66  68  71
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   8   7   6   5   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  12  12  12  10  12  13  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 5.6 5.3 5.3 4.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  10  10  7   9   12  13  12  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (47500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (65400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Kevin Berens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414081.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.berens@state.mn.us