Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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246 FXUS62 KTBW 271222 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 822 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .UPDATE... Upper ridging continues over the FL Peninsula and Nward with subsidence aloft to keep the warm and dry conditions in place through the weekend. Strong high pressure in the W Atlantic is keeping a tight pressure gradient over the area with breezy easterly winds as well to prevent the afternoon seabreezes with temps warming to above daytime climate normals. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Ongoing VFR conditions will prevail through the weekend with FEW- SCT050-060 fair wx cu and cirrus aloft. Easterly winds to become gusty shortly and through the evening surge then decrease overnight. && .SHORT TERM (TDY-SUN) ... Issued at 414 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024 Just another morning in paradise...temperatures in the 60s and somewhat light easterly winds in place. Meanwhile, a persistent area of high pressure aloft slides into the East Coast, while high pressure builds at the surface. As a result, warm and dry conditions prevail over the weekend. Periods of breezy easterly winds are anticipated during this time. Afternoon highs climb up to near 90 with dewpoints remain in the 60s, which should make conditions feel slightly better. Visitors and residents should stay hydrated as heat related illnesses are possible if exposed to the sun and these temperatures for a long period of time. && .LONG TERM (MON-FRI)... Issued at 414 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024 Next week, high pressure remains over the area keeping an approaching U/L disturbance north of the area. Winds should decrease through the first half of the week and the sea breeze returns at least to coastal areas. Afternoon highs warm up into the low 90s across the CWA while overnight lows stay in the 60s. && .MARINE... Issued at 350 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024 Area of high pressure remains in control over the Gulf waters. A tight pressure gradient over the region has resulted in gusty easterly winds and a Small Craft Advisory is now in effect for this evening and into Sunday. Small craft should still exercise caution early today as periods of breezy conditions and choppy seas on the waters are anticipated through the weekend. Winds decrease a bit early to mid next week with the afternoon sea breeze returns. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 413 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024 Persistent high pressure continues to dominate across the region keeping warm and dry conditions in place through the period. Minimum humidity values are expected to be at or just below critical levels each afternoon. Easterly winds become occasionally gusty each afternoon into evening with high dispersions in some areas. Even though fuels remain just moist enough to issue any red flag warnings, an elevated fire weather risk remains with these conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 87 68 87 67 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 87 67 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 84 65 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 90 67 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 87 62 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 87 71 86 70 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Sunday for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM. && $$ RJD