Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 220740
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
340 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

...Warm and Dry...

.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire danger will exist today and Monday as fuels continue
to dry out. Minimum relative humidities in the teens are likely
today, and 25-35 pct on Monday. Wind speeds will be relatively
light, but east winds may reach 10-15 mph in the afternoon. Some
gusts to 20 mph will be possible at peak heating when deeper mixing
heights around 6000 ft are present, especially southern sections.

MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
340 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6600-7100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....25-30.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent near Lake Michigan and 95-100
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 0-300 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent near Lake Michigan and 23-28
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
340 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....25-30.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
340 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6100-6600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........80-85 percent near Lake Michigan and 91-96
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1300-1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3700-4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3800-4300 ft AGL increasing to
                    6100-6600 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
340 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL increasing to 5700-6200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
340 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....32-37.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL increasing to 6000-6500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1100 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. East winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 8 to
13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

$$



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