Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
320
FNUS52 KILM 081909
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm weather continues through tomorrow. Several
rounds of rain and thunderstorms expected late this afternoon
through early Friday, with chance for severe weather late today
and again Thursday. High pressure with near normal temps and
lower daytime RH will dominate this weekend into early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-091115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 50 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 2
Min/Max Temp 69 90 66 84
Max/Min RH (%) 92 51 99 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 7 G21 SW 8 G23 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 12 G24 SW 6 W 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.16 0.14 0.10 0.16
Precip Duration 1 1 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0800 1900 71/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132600 99000
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 69 Good 52 Gen Good 69 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 105 Very Good9 Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability D B D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-091115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 69 89 67 83
Max/Min RH (%) 93 54 100 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 7 G21 SW 7 G19 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 11 G23 SW 5 W 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.20 0.15 0.12 0.16
Precip Duration 2 2 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500
Transport Wind (mph) W 28 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134400 103500
ADI Early 67 Good 75 Good 56 Gen Good 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 111 Very Good8 Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-091115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 69 88 68 82
Max/Min RH (%) 93 56 98 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G23 SW 10 G22 W 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 14 G25 SW 6 W 11 G19
Precip Amount 0.21 0.16 0.07 0.16
Precip Duration 2 2 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 28 NW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 117600 82800
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 71 Good 50 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 78 Good 11 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-091115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 70 89 68 85
Max/Min RH (%) 91 55 99 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 G18 SW 7 G20 SW 8 G21 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 11 G23 SW 5 W 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.05 0.10 0.10 0.15
Precip Duration 1 1 2 4
Precip Begin 7 PM 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0800 2000 71/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5200
Transport Wind (mph) W 28 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128800 114400
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 79 Good 49 Gen Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 107 Very Good9 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-091115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 40 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 2
Min/Max Temp 69 88 66 83
Max/Min RH (%) 92 58 99 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 7 G21 SW 8 G21 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 12 G23 SW 5 W 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.14
Precip Duration 1 1 2 4
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0600 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 29 W 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 121800 132600
ADI Early 71 Good 76 Good 60 Gen Good 36 Fair
ADI Late 9 Poor 101 Very Good9 Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-091115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
309 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 68 87 67 82
Max/Min RH (%) 97 58 100 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G22 SW 9 G21 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 13 G24 SW 6 W 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.18 0.14 0.05 0.14
Precip Duration 2 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0600 2000 70/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104000 94600
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 67 Good 53 Gen Good 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 79 Good 9 Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO