Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 211917
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

...High winds expected in the mountains and adjacent foothills
Sunday night through Monday...

.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure across the southern
Appalachians will give way to an upper level storm system moving
from the southern Plains to the Tennessee Valley. An increasing
chance of showers can be expected for late Sunday through Tuesday.
Windy conditions will develop over the area Sunday night and Monday,
especially across the higher elevations and adjacent foothills.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (+11)  65-70 (0)    44-49        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      68-73 (+9)   28-33 (+10)  80-85        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5                     SE 16 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G21    SE 10 G26    E 16 G40
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30           60
Precip duration                                 1            3
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.32
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3500                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     SE 37
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 77000                     185000
Dispersion                         41 Gen good               95 Good
Max LVORI                          1                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6                     SE 20 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G21    SE 13 G26    E 20 G40

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+9)   60-65 (-2)   42-47        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      70-75 (+4)   31-36 (+11)  83-88        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G23                 SE 22 G52
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G16    SE 10 G28    SE 15 G41    SE 23 G55
Precip type           NONE         rain         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           50           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.50
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2400                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 17                     SE 43
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 88400                     210700
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   79 Good
Max LVORI                          1                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G23                 SE 27 G52
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G16    SE 13 G28    SE 19 G41    SE 29 G55

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds 10 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph
after midnight.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west
after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 50s
to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-222000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (+9)   60-65 (-2)   45-50        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      73-78 (+5)   37-42 (+15)  90-95        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G21                 SE 24 G67
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G16     SE 11 G34    SE 18 G52    SE 22 G56
Precip type           NONE         rain         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            50           70           70
Precip duration                    1            3            3
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.28         0.56
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 18                     SE 38
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 82800                     193800
Dispersion                         23 Fair                   64 Good
Max LVORI                          3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 10 G21                 SE 30 G67
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6 G16     SE 14 G34    SE 23 G52    SE 28 G56

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s
to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-222000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+9)   61-66 (-5)   48-53        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+7)   43-48 (+22)  89-94        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G29                 SE 21 G50
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G16    SE 13 G35    SE 18 G46    SE 16 G43
Precip type           NONE         rain         rain         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            80           80           70
Precip duration                    3            8            3
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.14         0.54         0.50
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     SE 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 85800                     132000
Dispersion                         34 Fair                   59 Gen good
Max LVORI                          3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 14 G29                 SE 27 G50
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G16    SE 17 G35    SE 23 G46    SE 21 G43

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-222000-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+6)   59-64 (-6)   46-51        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+16) 42-47 (+19)  92-97        59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 10 G26                 SE 18 G46
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G15    SE 14 G35    SE 17 G41    SE 15 G40
Precip type           NONE         rain         rain         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            80           80           70
Precip duration                    3            8            3
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.14         0.59         0.61
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1700                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 20                     SE 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 78000                     117000
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   51 Gen good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 13 G26                 SE 23 G46
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G15    SE 17 G35    SE 22 G41    SE 19 G40

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows near 50. Southeast winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in
the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222000-
East Tennessee District East-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+10)  67-72 (0)    46-51        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+1)   29-34 (+10)  83-88        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G19                 E 16 G39
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G24    E 11 G28     E 17 G40
Precip type           NONE         rain         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           50           60
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.41
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3600                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SE 35
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 81600                     161000
Dispersion                         50 Gen good               93 Good
Max LVORI                          1                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G19                 E 20 G39
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        SE 11 G24    E 14 G28     E 21 G40

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s to
mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222000-
East Tennessee District West-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (+11)  64-69 (-4)   48-53        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+5)   39-44 (+19)  88-93        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   E 14 G35
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  7 G25     E 11 G29     SE 14 G35
Precip type           NONE         rain         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            50           70           60
Precip duration                    1            4            3
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.22         0.45
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3100                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SE 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 70400                     100000
Dispersion                         43 Gen good               63 Good
Max LVORI                          2                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E  5                      E 18 G35
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  9 G25     E 13 G29     SE 17 G35

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-222000-
Cumberland District South-
317 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018 /217 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (+12)  60-65 (-8)   50-55        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      76-81 (+2)   51-56 (+32)  91-96        61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  7 G23                 SE 12 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E 11 G28     E 14 G36     SE 10 G30
Precip type           showers      rain         rain         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           80           90           80
Precip duration       1            5            8            5
Precip begin          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.31         0.72         0.51
LAL                   1            1            2            4
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2500                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 81400                     68400
Dispersion                         47 Gen good               43 Gen good
Max LVORI                          3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G23                 SE 16 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  6        E 14 G28     E 17 G36     SE 13 G30

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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