Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS La Crosse, WI

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000
FNUS73 KARX 231239
FWSARX

Spot Forecast for Oronoco SNA...MNDNR
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
739 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (608) 784-8292 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy conditions expected today with westerly winds
gusting to 20-25 knots later this morning into the afternoon.
There will be a subtle shift in wind direction to the NW later
this afternoon with gustiness diminishing as low pressure
currently over Lake Superior pulls away. Good mixing expected
today under partly sunny skies with no RH concerns. No rain in the
forecast until later tonight into Friday morning as another
system lifts into the region. Lesser chances for rain expected
heading into Friday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................77 percent at ignition...Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    until late afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /43800 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /89400 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........2 very low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........58  61  65  62  58  54  52  49  47  46  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  55  56  58  60  62  63  64  65  66  66
RH..............77  74  69  64  60  56  54  52  48  48  48
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..11  12  12  12  12  12  11  10  9   8   6
20 FT wind gust.19  21  22  21  20  19  19  18  16  14  9
Haines index....2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100044  58  72  78  84  89  87  84  82  68  54

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers after midnight. Showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms early
                    in the morning. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 70 percent.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds up to 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southeast
                    5 to 7 mph after midnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (6900-39600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........43     59     62     71     84     92
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      10     40     60
Temp............64     58     53     52     53     52
RH..............54     67     80     83     80     86
20 ft wind......NW 5   N 3    NE 3   E 3    E 5    E 6
20 ft wind gust.
Haines index....4      5      5      4      4      3
SDspl kt-ft/100040     18     7      9      10     12

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers early in the morning.
                    Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
                    of showers in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 80 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 60 percent
                    early in the morning decreasing to 40 percent
                    late in the morning increasing to 50 percent
                    decreasing to 40 percent early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 30 percent decreasing to 20
                    percent late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 23
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (14200-60300 knot-ft)
                    increasing to excellent (67500-78900 knot-ft)
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR very low.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........96     97     97     96     88     77
Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............90     60     50     40     30     20
Temp............52     55     59     62     65     69
RH..............93     86     78     75     73     70
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 10  SE 11  SE 10  S 10   S 9
20 ft wind gust.12     15     23     16     15     14
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100014     32     47     60     58     68

$$
Forecaster...MEK
Requested by...Russ Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909797.0/ARX
.DELDT 05/23/19
.EMAIL russell.smith@state.mn.us


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