Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 212053
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Mitawan...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
353 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 CDT on May 21.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast...
please call the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Skies will remain mostly sunny this afternoon with clouds increasing this
evening.  Winds will remain out of the East to ESE at 7-10 mph and will slowly
increase overnight as a low pressure apporaches the region.  Rain will begin
over the fire site by sunrise.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph with gusts to around
                    16 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 22 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (122300 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  62
RH..............25  27
20 FT wind dir..E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  16  Current surface analysis indicates mostly sunny skies across the
region

Mix hgt (kft)...6.6 5.7
Transp wind dir.E   E
Transp wind spd.22  23
SDspl kt-ft/1000122 116

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of showers overnight. A chance of
                    showers after 3 am, then showers likely after 3
                    am. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL decreasing to 1800 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 17 to 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (86700-104300 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    good (58300 knot-ft) early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to good (32100 knot-ft) late in the
                    evening decreasing to poor (13700 knot-ft) in
                    the late evening and overnight increasing to
                    fair to good (27200-44700 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (60000 knot-ft) early in the
                    morning.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............58     52     46     44     43     41
RH..............29     40     52     53     60     66
20 ft wind......E 11   E 11   E 10   E 11   E 11   E 12
20 ft wind gust.16     14     11     12     12     14
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   2900   700    400    700    1500
Transport wind..E 25   E 23   E 18   E 18   E 24   E 36
SDspl kt-ft/1000104    58     11     6      14     45

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers in the morning, then rain
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon. Chance of precipitation near 100
                    percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 16 mph decreasing to around 11
                    mph with gusts to around 18 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 29 to 47 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (58300-88900 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to good (46900 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........                            S CHC
Temp............40     40     42     44     47     48
RH..............87     93     81     82     84     84
20 ft wind......E 15   E 16   E 13   E 13   E 13   E 12
20 ft wind gust.17     18     18     19     23     20
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   2100   2100   2100   2100   2100
Transport wind..E 45   E 45   SE 36  E 35   SE 33  SE 32
SDspl kt-ft/100076     84     66     62     62     58

$$
Forecaster...Mike
Requested by...Grett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909717.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/21/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.25
.EMAIL dgrettenberg@fs.fed.us


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