Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 201414
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Spot Forecast for Iowa Lake Campground...IDNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
914 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Cool and dry weather will prevail as winds from the north become
from the northeast this afternoon at around 10 mph. Cool, windy,
and wet weather are expected tomorrow with rain amounts near or
above an inch.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  19  27  35  41  47  53  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  52  54  55  57  58  59  58
RH..............68  59  54  53  47  45  44  45
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  10  12  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.8 5.4 5.1 4.8
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.15  13  14  12  10  10  9   9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers late in the evening. Scattered rain
                    showers overnight, then numerous rain showers
                    after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 18 mph increasing to around 21 mph
                    early in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........71     79     78     85     88     89
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............58     56     52     50     48     48
RH..............44     51     66     71     77     77
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 12   E 14
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     16     20
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   400    400    400    400    700
Transport wind..E 12   E 10   E 14   E 17   E 16   E 18
Haines index....4      4      4      M      M      M

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Widespread rain
                    showers.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. East winds 16 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 36 mph increasing to 28 to 32 mph with
                    gusts to around 45 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 29 mph shifting to the east 32
                    to 37 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........94        96        99        100
Weather cov.....WIDSPD    WIDSPD    WIDSPD    WIDSPD
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............48        48        48        47
RH..............77        80        80        83
20 FT wind......E 16G23   E 21G29   E 28G39   E 32G45
Mix hgt (ft)....1100      1100      1600      1900
Transport wind..SE 22     SE 25     E 32      E 37
Haines index....M         M         M         M

$$
Forecaster...Ansorge
Requested by...Goodrich
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909637.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/20/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL kevin.goodrich@dnr.iowa.gov


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