Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 141430
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Pawnee Rx SW...TNC
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
930 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The only potential issue to day for any type of fire weather will
be slightly higher winds with sustained NW winds of 10-15mph with
gusts up to 25mph at times. Relative humidity values will remain
above 50 percent with fuels mostly still green which will limit
any significant fire weather threat today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  26  32  34  36  38  39
Weather cov.....M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Weather type....M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Tstm cov........M   M   M   M   M   M   M
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  74  76  77  77  78  77
RH..............68  64  60  58  58  56  58
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.11  13  14  14  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.7 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.21  20  18  17  16  15  14
Haines index....5   5   6   6   6   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  41  33  18  10  11  12  12  17  25  29  33
Weather cov.....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Weather type....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Tstm cov........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............77  76  73  71  68  67  65  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............58  60  66  71  78  81  84  87  87  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12
Haines index....4   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 2
                    to 10 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  46  46  46  46  52  63  69  69  71  71  69
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  60  64  67  71  73  75  77  78  78  79  78
RH..............93  93  84  81  73  68  64  60  60  60  60  62
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.4 1.6 1.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NE  E   SE  E   NE  N   NE
Transp wind spd.12  10  8   6   3   2   2   3   6   8   9   10
Haines index....4   5   5   5   6   6   6   4   4   4   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Barham
Requested by...Tom Fielden
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1913798.0/EAX
.DELDT 08/14/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL thomas.fielden@tnc.org


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