Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 221705
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Maroon...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1005 AM MST Wed May 22 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Expect rain and snow mix through the day Wednesday
before heavier snow moves in after sunset as a cold front passes
by the area. Expect breezy southwest winds through the day to not
fully decoupling overnight. Snow showers will gradually end Thursday
morning with breezy southwest winds returning in the afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers in the
                    morning. Chance of rain showers through the
                    day.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2252.
Mixing height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
                    mph in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and snow showers
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph decreasing to 20 mph in the late evening
                    and overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Marginal.
Clearing Index......106.
Mixing height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight, then
                    increasing to southwest around 25 mph after 3
                    am.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and snow
                    showers in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms through the day. Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1584.
Mixing height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 40 mph decreasing to around 20
                    mph late in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph in the evening becoming light.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
                    mph overnight.



$$
Forecaster...THORNTON
Requested by...Murray Rosengarten
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1909527.5/FGZ
.DELDT 05/22/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL Murray.rosengarten@usda.gov


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