Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 221959
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Bell...TAMU Forest Service
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
259 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1452 CDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front has now moved passed the burn site, with a few
lingering showers within the area. All thunderstorm activity is
moving away from the area, therefore, the precipitation chances
will be decreasing through the rest of the afternoon. Winds will
remain out of the north through the night, generally under 15 mph.
Overnight, relative humidity values will be increasing to around
85% with below normal temperatures expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

With drier air moving in on Tuesday, relative humidities will drop
to around 40 percent Tuesday afternoon before recovering to around
85% Tuesday night.



.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....North winds 5 to 7 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........65  60  50  44  43  43  40  41  40  37  35  25
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............91  90  86  84  83  81  80  78  77  75  74  73
RH..............54  56  61  65  65  69  69  74  71  74  76  79
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12  12  12  10  12  12  13  12  12
20 FT wind gust.18  18  17  14  14  14      14  14  17  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   9   8   7   7   7       7   7   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  N
Transp wind spd.18  21  16  18  16  16  16  20  20  20  18  18
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 6 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  4   3   3   7   11  19  26  25  24  23  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  71  73  77  80  83  86  87  88  88  89  89
RH..............84  84  79  67  60  54  49  47  45  44  42  42
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   9   12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.        10  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.            7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.9 2.0 3.6 4.4 5.4 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.8 6.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.18  16  18  21  22  21  21  20  18  18  17  17
Haines index....6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northeast around
                    5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northeast around
                    3 mph overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  4   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............89  87  83  78  75  73  72  71  70  69  67  65
RH..............41  43  50  57  66  68  71  70  73  77  81  87
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   5   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.    10              4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   4   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 4.4 3.1 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.17  16  15  13  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth early in the morning.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 4 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   5   4   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  65  68  72  77  80  83  85  86  87  88  88
RH..............87  85  76  63  54  46  43  39  37  36  35  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.10  10  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....6   6   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...Hernandez
Requested by...Belinda Jackson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1912563.0/FWD
.DELDT 07/22/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26


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