Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 191303
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Boggy Draw RX...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
703 AM MDT Mon Aug 19 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MDT on August 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry southwest flow will remain in place through
Tuesday with mostly sunny skies and occasional breezes in the
afternoon. This will result in very good smoke dispersal and
mixing. Moisture slowly increases along the Continental Divide
Wednesday through Friday but mostly remains east, with storms over
the eastern San Juans each afternoon, producing more wind than
rain.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87 F.
Min humidity........10-15%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 MPH with gusts to 20 MPH
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10%).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54 F.
Max humidity........37-42%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 MPH becoming downslope/downvalley
                    3 to 7 MPH (northeast at ridgetops) after sunset.
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft)
                    after sunset.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL decreasing to 1200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 MPH shifting to the northeast 5
                    MPH overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88 F.
Min humidity........11-16%.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley 3 to 7 MPH until 1000, then
                    becoming southwest 8 to 12 MPH in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Rising to 12800 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 10 MPH shifting to the southwest in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Matthew Traynham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1913949.1/GJT
.DELDT 08/19/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL matthew.traynham@usda.gov


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