Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 181411
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for East White Rocks WF...Uintah & Oury BIA
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
811 AM MDT Fri May 18 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 MDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The upper level low pressure system will shift east
today with some moisture moving in from the north behind it.
Overall, conditions will remain dry and breezy today through the
weekend with some isolated thunderstorms possible each afternoon.
Storms will favor higher terrain with some drift into adjacent
valleys, possibly impacting the fire location. Erratic gusty
outflow winds and lightning will be the primary concerns with
little in the way of rainfall expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (50-60%). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-71 F.
Min humidity........18-23%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 MPH, becoming southwest 5 to
                    10 MPH with gusts 15 to 20 MPH in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good by 1100, increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Mixing height.......15200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 MPH.
Clearing Index......800, increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Isolated showers.
Min temperature.....45-50 F.
Max humidity........61-66%.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 MPH. Gusts up to 20 mph in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Winds becoming
                    northeast 5 to 10 MPH after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2000, decreasing to poor (26000
                    knot-ft) after midnight.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL until 1800, decreasing to 2900 ft
                    AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....North 10 MPH.
Clearing Index......900 until 1800, decreasing to 260 after midnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%), then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (70-80%). Isolated showers in the
                    morning, then scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-66 F.
Min humidity........37-42%.
Wind (20 ft)........East-northeast winds 5 to 10 MPH. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 MPH.
Clearing Index......480, increasing to 930 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Alton Pickup
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810277.0/GJT
.EMAIL alton.pickup@bia.gov



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