Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 171626
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Savanna Rx...MiDNR
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1226 PM EDT Fri May 17 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The current clearing is only temporary as clouds will move back
in during the mid to late afternoon. The main chance of rain
hold off until tonight though.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................41 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 /fair/ at ignition. Max...400 /good/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
Sky (%).........36     57     90     77     80     80
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Temp............63     66     66     64     61     57
RH..............41     35     34     41     48     57
20 ft wind......NE 6   N 7    N 8    NE 8   NE 7   NE 6
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   4300   3800   3500   300    300
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      2
Smoke Dispersal 200    300    400    300    0      0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening and overnight. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the evening.
                    Rain showers likely overnight.
Temperature.........Min 50.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.

$$
Forecaster...Meade
Requested by...Lee Osterland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909513.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/17/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL osterlandl@michigan.gov


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