Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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000
FNUS71 KGYX 151926
FWSGYX

Spot Forecast for Thicket 6 Prescribed Burn...TNC/USFS
National Weather Service Gray ME
326 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

Expect humidity to increase this afternoon and evening, with
winds remaining light and variable. Cloud cover will decrease
overnight but increasing humidity and fog possible.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............56.
Max apparent temp...77.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......600-1700 ft AGL increasing to 4300-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the north around 6
                    mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph early in the afternoon
                    shifting to the north around 6 mph early in the
                    afternoon shifting to the southwest shifting to
                    the south late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3800-20200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................5 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 25 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 22 early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  25  25  25  25  25  40  40  40  40  40  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  59  64  69  72  75  77  77  76  76  76  76
Dewpoint........54  55  57  55  55  55  57  57  57  58  57  57
RH..............86  87  78  61  55  50  50  51  52  54  52  52
Aparnt tmp (F)..58  59  64  69  72  75  77  77  76  76  76  76
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   1   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.    2   6   6   6   6   7   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.0 4.0 5.7 5.5 4.7 4.3
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  E   N   SW  N   SW  SW  SE  S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........9   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   4   6   13  19  25  22  28  17  25  26  25
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/10004   4   5   9   13  18  16  20  15  18  19  18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers after midnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............57.
Max apparent temp...74.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (900-14500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................18 decreasing to 4.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  50  50  50  81  81  81  81  81  81
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  71  70  67  66  65  64  63  63  62  61  61
Dewpoint........58  59  58  57  56  56  57  56  57  57  56  57
RH..............57  65  66  70  70  73  78  78  81  84  84  87
Aparnt tmp (F)..74  71  70  67  66  65  64  63  63  62  61  61
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   SE  E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..4   3   4   3   3   2   1   1   2   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   5   4   2   2       2   4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  S   SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   5   3   5   5   5   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   6   6   6   6
ADI.............18  7   3   2   2   2   1   2   1   1   1   1
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/100015  4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Dewpoint............59.
Max apparent temp...75.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL increasing to 2800-4300 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (900-36200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5 until late afternoon.
ADI.................6 increasing to 27.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  67  67  67  67  67  60  60  60  60  60  60
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............60  61  62  65  67  69  72  73  75  75  74  74
Dewpoint........57  57  59  59  60  60  60  60  60  60  61  61
RH..............90  87  90  81  78  73  66  64  60  60  64  64
Aparnt tmp (F)..60  61  62  65  67  69  72  73  75  75  74  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   6       5   6   6   6   8   10  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.8 2.8 3.7 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   5   7   7   9   9   10  10  12
LVORI...........7   6   7   4   4   3   3   2   M   M   M   M
ADI.............1   2   2   10  12  19  26  27  M   M   M   M
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/10001   1   1   7   10  20  31  36  32  30  28  25

$$
Forecaster...CURTIS
Requested by...Jeff Lougee
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1913811.0/GYX
.DELDT 08/15/19
.EMAIL jlougee@tnc.org


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