Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 201858
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Frog Pond Restoration...SFWMD
National Weather Service Miami FL
258 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms over the burn site
the next few days. Easterly wind flow will persist with gusty and
erratic wind in and around and thunderstorms that do develop.
Relative humidities will stay above critical thresholds.
Dispersion values will be poor to fair.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....37.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  44  58
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Temp............90  89  88
RH..............52  56  57
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..090 100 100
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8
20 ft wind gust.10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 4.9 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   9
Dispersion idx..37  39  35
LVORI...........1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40
LAL.............2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2700-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1700 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....34 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  58  65  65  65  39  39  39  28  28  28  26
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH                         SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW                          RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Temp............85  84  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  72  71  71
RH..............63  67  74  79  82  85  87  87  90  93  93  93
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..100 100 100 100 090 090 090 100 100 100 090 090
20 ft wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 ft wind gust.8   7   6   5   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 2.7 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  10  10  8   6   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Dispersion idx..36  31  7   6   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  20
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4700 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 1 to 10 mph increasing to around 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........26     32     32     36     29     29
Weather cov.....S CHC                S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............71     77     86     88     89     88
RH..............97     85     61     55     54     55
20 ft wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 ft wind dir..090    090    090    090    100    100
20 ft wind spd..2      2      5      7      8      8
20 ft wind gust.              6      8      11     11
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    3100   4500   4700   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 2    E 2    E 5    E 8    SE 9   SE 10
Dispersion idx..1      3      20     40     39     40
LVORI...........8      5      2      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Tiffany Howard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909653.0/MFL


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