Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 170804
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Pine Glades 6-1 Blackline...Palm Beach County ERM
National Weather Service Miami FL
404 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light easterly flow around Atlantic high pressure will allow the
sea breezes to develop and push inland today. Morning Atlantic
showers will transition to afternoon and evening thunderstorms
with a focus over the interior and the Gulf coast. Some remnant
showers are possible late in the evening into the overnight as the
sea breeze retreats and Atlantic showers develop over the coastal
waters again. Dispersion index values will be poor to fair today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 16-25 strikes until
                    1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Mixing height.......1200-2900 ft AGL increasing to 2600-3500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  27  51  51  51  35  35  35  27
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............85  88  90  92  92  92  91  91  90
RH..............75  66  59  56  54  54  55  53  55
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..130 130 140 130 120 110 110 110 110
20 ft wind spd..3   5   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 ft wind gust.6   6   10  10  10  10  10  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.1 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   10
Dispersion idx..8   19  29  31  31  29  30  29  28
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   2   2   2   2   2
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....21 decreasing to 1.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  27  19  19  19  32  32  32  33  33  33  32
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW              RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Temp............89  88  85  83  83  82  81  80  80  79  79  78
RH..............57  62  67  72  76  77  79  81  83  84  86  86
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind dir..110 110 110 120 120 130 130 130 130 130 130 130
20 ft wind spd..8   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 ft wind gust.10  10  7   6   6   6   6   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
Dispersion idx..21  11  4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 16-25 strikes until
                    1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 2700-4500 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 11 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 26 late in the morning increasing
                    to 41 late in the morning decreasing to 30.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........32     34     34     45     52     52
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Temp............78     82     89     93     93     92
RH..............90     83     64     55     52     54
20 ft wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     E      E
20 ft wind dir..130    140    130    120    110    110
20 ft wind spd..2      3      3      7      8      8
20 ft wind gust.       4      6      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    2700   4200   4500   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 2   SE 3   SE 8   SE 9   SE 8   SE 8
Dispersion idx..1      4      26     42     29     29
LVORI...........7      5      3      1      2      2
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.............1      4      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Garcia
Requested by...Harper Carroll
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1912323.0/MFL


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