Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 210312
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for West Side Pile Burn...BLM
National Weather Service Medford OR
812 PM PDT Mon May 20 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will move through the burn area Tuesday
afternoon. This will bring showers to the area through Tuesday
evening, with thunderstorms possible Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Wednesday will be warmer and drier, but there will still be showers
around. North winds will increase Wednesday.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....45-47.
Min humidity........54-58 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest 4 mph becoming northwest 4 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 10 mph becoming northwest 10 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph becoming west 15 mph.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................1 becoming 2 in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
                    then a slight chance of rain showers after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....37-39.
Max humidity........93-97 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 4 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL lowering to the surface.
Transport winds.....West 15 mph becoming northwest 10 mph.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................2 in the evening becoming 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Max temperature.....52-54.
Min humidity........49-53 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 4 mph becoming north 7 mph. Gusts
                    up to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 10 mph becoming north 15 mph. Gusts
                    up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Near surface increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph becoming north 25 mph.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...STOCKTON
Requested by...Scott Joyce
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909662.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/21/19



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