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000
FNUS74 KMOB 161414
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for 8531 South...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
914 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 81 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today and Wednesday.
Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels
today and Wednesday. Transport winds will be light to moderate,
mostly southerly today through Wednesday. Dispersion index
values will be generally good to good today and fair to good on
Wednesday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Widespread fog development is
not expected tonight, but some patchy light fog will again be
possible in some locations.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...853-1250 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 23 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....50 increasing to 81.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........64     49     41     39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............75     81     83     82
RH..............74     54     47     47
20 FT wind dir..SSE    S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..13     15     15     16
20 FT wind gust.20     22     23     24
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   4100   4000   3600
Mix hgt (m).....850    1250   1220   1100
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.18     22     23     23
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).8      10     10     10
Dispersion idx..50     78     83     81
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 14 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1097 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph decreasing to 8 to 12 mph
                    after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 9 meters/second decreasing to around
                    4 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....81 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........48     43     65     76     72     88
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............79     72     69     68     68     67
RH..............54     73     84     90     90     93
20 FT wind dir..S      S      SSE    S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..16     9      7      6      6      5
20 FT wind gust.24     15     10     9      8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   600    600    600    600    500
Mix hgt (m).....1100   180    180    180    180    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.22     15     13     13     13     9
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).10     7      6      6      6      4
Dispersion idx..81     13     10     9      8      7
LVORI...........1      4      5      5      6      7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........86     85     86     86     82     79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............66     68     74     79     81     82
RH..............100    100    82     67     58     56
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..3      8      10     10     12     13
20 FT wind gust.5      13     15     16     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1300   1900   3000   3300   3000
Mix hgt (m).....150    400    580    910    1010   910
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.9      10     13     13     14     15
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      6      6      6      7
Dispersion idx..4      17     34     36     35     35
LVORI...........9      5      3      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Brandon selk
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410881.1/MOB
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.selk@usda.gov