Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 231006
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Chippewa Complex...OTHER
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
506 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Today will be a brief dry day in this pattern. High pressure will
be coming in during the afternoon, which is why wind speeds are
expected to diminish throughout the day. Skies are expected to
remain cloudy through the day, which will help keep temperatures
about 10 degrees below normal and humidities in the 50s.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3600-4500
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Northwest 8 to 17 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /54100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /58300 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........2 or very low at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............54  56  57  58  59  60  61
RH..............74  69  64  59  55  53  53
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  11  10  7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.17  17  16  14  12  8   6
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Mixing wind spd.17  17  16  14  12  8   6
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3
SDspl kt-ft/100054  58  57  51  45  31  22

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers late in
                    the evening. Rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after midnight. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Temperature.........Min 51.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 7 to 12 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......2700-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 800-1900 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 12 mph increasing to southeast 25 to
                    28 mph.
Mixing winds........East 3 to 12 mph increasing to southeast 25 to
                    28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............61     56     52     51     51     51
RH..............56     69     83     86     89     89
20 ft wind......N 4    E 4    E 6    E 7    E 9    SE 11
20 ft wind gust.5      6      7      10     14     16
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   2700   1600   900    800    900
Transport wind..N 3    NE 8   E 15   E 20   E 22   SE 25
Mixing wind.....N 3    NE 8   E 15   E 20   E 22   SE 25
Haines index....3      3      3      3      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100013     19     21     15     15     20

$$
Forecaster...GRIESINGER
Requested by...David C. Pauly
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909791.0/MPX
.EMAIL griz@scicable.net


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