Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS74 KMRX 232153
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Cosby Nature Trail SAR...Great Smoky Mtns NP
National Weather Service Morristown TN
553 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on May 23.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...
A summer-like pattern will continue this week
with warm temperatures and chances for afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. A slow-moving system from the gulf will bring
southerly winds and Gulf moisture to the area by the weekend. High
temperatures will remain generally in the 80s with lows in the 60s
across much of the area.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Max apparent temp...72.
Surface winds.......Light winds.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........52  55  57  60  56  53  49  51  52  54  52  51
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  10  0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............72  69  68  66  65  65  63  63  62  62  61  61
RH..............73  81  84  90  93  93  100 97  97  97  100 100
Aparnt tmp (F)..72  69  68  66  65  65  63  63  62  62  61  61
Surface wnd dir.N   NE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.5   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3
Surface wnd gst.6   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
                    Slight chance of showers in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Max apparent temp...78.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.11 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........49  53  57  60  63  65  67  67  67  67  67  68
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  30  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  30  20
Temp............62  66  69  71  74  75  77  77  78  78  78  77
RH..............100 90  84  79  71  71  67  64  62  60  60  60
Aparnt tmp (F)..62  66  69  71  74  75  77  77  78  78  78  77
Surface wnd dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   8   8
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   8   9   9

$$
Forecaster...Doug Schneider
Requested by...Ranger W Jaynes
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1810581.0/MRX
.DELDT 05/23/18



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