Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 210709
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Apalach 43...USFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
309 AM EDT Tue May 21 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 21.

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have
questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Transport winds will be light with relatively high mixing heights
contributing to greater dispersions. High dispersion values are
possible this afternoon and on Wednesday afternoon, mainly near and
to the west of the Chatahoochee and Apalachicola Rivers. RH values
are expected to range from the lower to upper 30s across the region
over the next couple of afternoons. Rising temperatures and next
to no chances of rain over the course of at least the next week
will be something to monitor closely with regards to fuels curing
and rising fire potential.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  15  12  10  9   8   7   7   6   6
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  76  82  86  89  91  92  92  92  92
RH..............90  71  56  50  44  40  36  36  36  34
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.                            10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.5 5.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  S   S   S   N   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   6   9   10  7   3   0   2   7   10
Dispersion idx..2   11  31  48  39  18  1   14  40  60
LVORI...........7   3   1   1   1   2   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   6   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   10  11  13
Weather cov.....                                            PTY
Weather type....                                            FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............91  88  83  78  75  71  70  68  67  66  66  66
RH..............37  42  51  60  69  81  84  90  93  97  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10          6       4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  8   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Dispersion idx..51  23  3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  17  18  18  18  18  18  17  17  18  18  19
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  65  68  76  83  87  90  92  94  95  94  93
RH..............100 100 97  74  59  52  45  41  39  37  39  40
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.                    4       6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.7 3.1 4.6 5.2 5.9 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.2
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   1   2   3   6   8   8   8   8   7   7   6
Dispersion idx..1   1   2   8   22  43  48  53  54  50  46  43
LVORI...........10  10  8   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...LF
Requested by...AAFMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909659.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/21/19
.EMAIL jlago@fs.fed.us


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