Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
008 FXUS62 KKEY 031418 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1018 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1018 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 It has been a quiet morning across the Florida Keys forecast area. KBYX is only detecting one or two small showers in the distant Straits of Florida, with no other meteorological echoes to be found. This morning`s sounding highlighted a drier atmospheric profile than yesterday with a PW of 1.13", which is right around the 25th percentile for this time of year. GOES visible satellite is depicting few to scattered low level cumulus traversing the forecast area from the east, leading to partly cloudy to mostly clear skies along the island chain. The abundant sunshine has allowed temperatures to already breach 80 degrees this morning in all island communities. Dew points are around 70 degrees, leading to a muggier early May morning. Winds have lulled since earlier this morning, with marine observation platforms measuring winds of 10 to 15 knots along the Reef. Through tonight, winds will begin to creep back up, peaking overnight. Rain chances will remain slight, but drier air and a stable environment will squash most attempts at shower development. The forecast remains on track and no changes were necessary. && .MARINE... Issued at 1018 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, high pressure will persist over the western North Atlantic for the next several days resulting in an extended period of moderate to fresh easterly breezes. Breezes will tend to peak overnight, followed by lulls in the afternoon. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 1018 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the 24 hour TAF period with near-surface winds between 10 and 15 kts. Occasional gusts near 20 kts are possible, but have been left out of the TAFs due to the lack of predictability in timing. Skies remain SCT around 2k to 3k ft, but rain chances are low at 10 percent. && .CLIMATE... On this date in Keys Weather History, the daily record high temperature of 91F was recorded in 1873. Temperature records in May for Key West date back to 1873. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 85 77 84 77 / 10 10 10 10 Marathon 85 77 85 77 / 10 10 10 10 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...NB Aviation/Nowcasts....DP Data Acquisition.....NB Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest