Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
741
FXUS64 KTSA 220829
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
329 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Bulk of overnight precip has consolidated across far E OK / NW AR
in proximity to vort max rotating around the closed mid level low,
which will slowly track into SW AR by Sunday evening. Additional
showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm are expected to
develop on the N-NW periphery of the upper low through the day.
Temps today will continue well below normal.

Precip coverage dwindles this evening as the storm system moves
east of the region. Clearing skies on Monday allows for a
noticeable warm up which continues into Tuesday ahead of the next
cold front. Precip chances will increase Tuesday night into Wed in
a largely post frontal manner with data remaining consistent that
the highest precip amounts will focus toward southern OK.

Brief cool down Wednesday before sfc pattern quickly responds to
the next wave scheduled to pass Thurs night - Friday. Uncertainty
increases with both the timing of this feature and associated
precip chances with the ECMWF wetter / GFS drier. Once this wave
passes a more prolonged period of warmer temps is likely to
develop as ridging aloft prevails for next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   58  48  71  48 /  30  10   0   0
FSM   63  52  68  50 /  50  20  10  10
MLC   59  50  69  49 /  20  10  10   0
BVO   59  48  71  46 /  40  10   0   0
FYV   59  50  62  47 /  80  30  10  10
BYV   59  50  62  47 /  90  50  10  10
MKO   59  49  67  48 /  40  10  10   0
MIO   59  51  66  48 /  70  20  10  10
F10   59  48  69  49 /  20  10  10   0
HHW   62  52  71  51 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


LONG TERM....07



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.