Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 200228
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
928 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Convective lull ongoing across the forecast area at this time with
focus turning to widespread convection being maintained over SW OK
/ NW TX region. Low level flow is shown to remain steady with
while mid level flow remains rather meager with resultant
propagation vectors allowing any sustained convective complex to
push into eastern OK later tonight. The remnant outflow boundary
across NE OK has become more diffuse however it may also serve as
somewhat of a focus later tonight.

Updated forecast will increase precip chances across SE OK while
also maintaining rather high chances across NE OK. Severe weather
potential is expected to remain rather isolated with the outside
potential for a more organized complex to emerge into SE OK later
tonight. This potential seems rather low at this point but will
reflect the possibility in related graphics.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  80  63  83 /  60  30  20  20
FSM   70  87  68  89 /  40  20  20  20
MLC   69  83  64  86 /  70  30  20  20
BVO   64  79  58  83 /  60  40  20  20
FYV   65  82  62  84 /  30  20  20  20
BYV   66  85  62  85 /  20  20  20  20
MKO   68  81  64  84 /  60  30  20  20
MIO   65  80  60  83 /  50  30  20  20
F10   68  80  63  84 /  70  40  20  20
HHW   68  85  67  88 /  50  20  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07


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