Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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308
FNUS51 KOKX 140825
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Mainly dry conditions are expected across the region through
today. There will be a chance for showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms north and west of NYC for the latter half of this
afternoon into early this evening. Rain amounts are expected to
be low enough to not make this sufficient for wetting the ground.

A greater likelihood of rainfall is forecast tonight through
Wednesday and there is more potential for this rain to be enough
to sufficiently wet the ground, especially on Wednesday.

Winds will be southerly around 5 to 15 mph during much of the
forecast period. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to be
mainly between 45 and 65 percent today and mainly between 60 and
80 percent on Wednesday.


NYZ212-150830-
New York City-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           60
Temp (24h trend)      74 (+9)      57 (+5)      69
RH % (24h trend)      48 (-12)     93 (+2)      71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8        S 7-11       SE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12       S 3-7        SE 8-12
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.19
Precip Duration                    3            6
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3030         20           4480
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 12         S 10         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30300        180          44800
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-150830-
Long Island-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           50
Temp (24h trend)      70 (+7)      53 (+4)      67
RH % (24h trend)      54 (-10)     96 (+2)      72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 5-9        S 7-11       SE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 9-13       Lgt/Var      SE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.15
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1120         40           3120
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13         S  6         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     12320        200          21840
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-150830-
Lower Hudson Valley-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+10)     56 (+8)      68
RH % (24h trend)      47 (-6)      97 (0)       68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11      Lgt/Var      SE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.01         0.11         0.13
Precip Duration       1            5            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7290                      5260
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18        S  8         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     116640       0            52600
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-150830-
Western Passaic-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           70           60
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+8)      56 (+7)      68
RH % (24h trend)      47 (-7)      96 (-2)      70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      Lgt/Var      SE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.03         0.14         0.18
Precip Duration       1            5            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7170                      4690
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18        S 12         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     114720       0            46900
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-150830-
Eastern Passaic-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+9)      58 (+7)      68
RH % (24h trend)      45 (-7)      91 (+1)      70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.02         0.10         0.18
Precip Duration       1            5            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7220                      4420
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17        S  9         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     108300       0            44200
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-150830-
Western Bergen-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+8)      57 (+8)      68
RH % (24h trend)      46 (-5)      95 (0)       70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.02         0.11         0.16
Precip Duration       1            5            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7170                      4740
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17        S 10         SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     107550       0            47400
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-150830-
Eastern Bergen-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           60
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+8)      58 (+7)      69
RH % (24h trend)      47 (-4)      92 (+1)      69
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.01         0.07         0.15
Precip Duration       0            3            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6750                      4890
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17        S 10         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     101250       0            48900
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-150830-
Western Essex-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+8)      58 (+8)      68
RH % (24h trend)      45 (-7)      94 (+1)      70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.02         0.11         0.21
Precip Duration       1            5            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7250                      4240
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 16        S  9         SE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     101500       0            46640
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-150830-
Eastern Essex-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           60
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+9)      59 (+7)      69
RH % (24h trend)      46 (-7)      90 (-1)      70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 7-11       Lgt/Var      E 6-10
Precip Amount         0.02         0.08         0.21
Precip Duration       1            3            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6160                      4310
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         S  9         SE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     80080        0            51720
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-150830-
Western Union-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+8)      58 (+9)      69
RH % (24h trend)      46 (-6)      94 (-1)      71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      Lgt/Var      E 6-10
Precip Amount         0.02         0.11         0.24
Precip Duration       1            5            9
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7630                      4350
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 16        S 10         SE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     106820       0            47850
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-150830-
Eastern Union-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+9)      59 (+8)      69
RH % (24h trend)      45 (-7)      93 (0)       70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       S 5-9        SE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10       Lgt/Var      E 6-10
Precip Amount         0.02         0.08         0.23
Precip Duration       1            5            9
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5540                      4090
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15        S  9         SE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     72020        0            44990
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-150830-
Hudson-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           60
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+9)      59 (+7)      69
RH % (24h trend)      48 (-7)      90 (0)       70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10       Lgt/Var      SE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.01         0.07         0.20
Precip Duration       0            3            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4620                      4570
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15        S  9         SE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     60060        0            50270
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-150830-
Northern Fairfield-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           50
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+9)      55 (+8)      68
RH % (24h trend)      47 (0)       94 (-2)      69
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 7-11       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.09
Precip Duration                    2            2
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5470         20           4860
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18        S  8         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     87520        140          43740
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-150830-
Southern Fairfield-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           50
Temp (24h trend)      73 (+7)      56 (+7)      68
RH % (24h trend)      51 (-5)      96 (0)       73
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 7-11       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.10
Precip Duration                    2            2
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3060         20           2920
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         S 10         SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36720        180          20440
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-150830-
Northern New Haven-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           50
Temp (24h trend)      74 (+6)      56 (+9)      69
RH % (24h trend)      48 (+1)      94 (-1)      67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.07
Precip Duration                    2            2
Precip Begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3940         80           4510
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17        S  3         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59100        240          40590
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-150830-
Southern New Haven-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           50
Temp (24h trend)      73 (+7)      55 (+7)      68
RH % (24h trend)      53 (-4)      95 (-1)      70
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 7-11       Lgt/Var      SE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.08
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1520         60           2830
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 10         S  3         SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     13680        180          22640
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-150830-
Northern Middlesex-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           40
Temp (24h trend)      75 (+7)      55 (+8)      70
RH % (24h trend)      47 (+4)      95 (-1)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 5-9        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12       Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.06
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2870         80           4470
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15        S  3         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     37310        240          40230
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-150830-
Southern Middlesex-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           50
Temp (24h trend)      71 (+7)      54 (+6)      68
RH % (24h trend)      56 (+2)      97 (-1)      71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        SW 5-9       Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 7-11       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.08
Precip Duration                    0            2
Precip Begin                       2 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1260         50           2250
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 10         S  2         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     11340        100          15750
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-150830-
Northern New London-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           40
Temp (24h trend)      74 (+6)      54 (+7)      71
RH % (24h trend)      47 (0)       97 (0)       63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        SW 5-9       Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12       Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.07
Precip Duration                    0            2
Precip Begin                       2 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2810         70           4730
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15        S  2         SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36530        140          42570
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-150830-
Southern New London-
425 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           40
Temp (24h trend)      70 (+7)      53 (+5)      67
RH % (24h trend)      57 (-6)      99 (+1)      71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        SW 5-9       Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 7-11       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                    0            2
Precip Begin                       2 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1290         50           2140
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 12         S  2         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     12900        100          14980
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of
rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs around 70. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$