562
FNUS74 KMRX 161134
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for SAR - Chimney Tops Picnic Area...Great Smoky Mountains National Park Service
National Weather Service Morristown TN
734 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on May 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Low level moisture will remain high through late morning hours so
there will almost certainly be occasional drizzle or even light
through that time. By early afternoon, cloud cover should scatter
out pretty good for partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions.
Winds should generally be light, although a few gusts could occur
this afternoon at the higher elevations nearby. Dry conditions will
persist this afternoon into the overnight hours. Increasing high
clouds should keep fog and low clouds from redeveloping tonight.
Showers are expected to be rapidly approaching around and shortly
after daybreak tomorrow, with frequent showers persisting thereafter
for much of the day Friday and into Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Surface winds (mph).North winds around 5 mph increasing to
                    northwest around 6 mph late in the morning,
                    then decreasing to around 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........82  79  68  54  34  29  33  28  22  24  22  16
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............58  60  62  63  65  67  69  69  70  71  69  68
Dewpoint........57  58  58  58  58  58  58  59  59  58  58  57
RH..............96  93  87  84  78  73  68  70  68  63  68  68
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.5   5   5   5   3   6   6   6   6   6   5   2
Surface wnd gst.9   8   8   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Dewpoint............56 decreasing to 51 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........17  12  6   24  13  25  31  23  44  56  77  84
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............65  62  61  60  60  58  58  58  58  57  59  59
Dewpoint........58  55  54  53  53  50  51  51  50  50  50  51
RH..............78  78  78  78  78  75  77  77  75  77  72  75
Surface wnd dir.NW  W   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    in the morning, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Dewpoint............55 increasing to 59 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south around 6 mph.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........68  61  73  83  95  94  92  90  89  87  86  85
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  60  60  60  90  90  90  90  90  90
Temp............61  65  67  68  68  68  68  68  67  66  65  63
Dewpoint........53  56  57  59  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  59
RH..............75  73  70  73  76  76  76  76  78  81  84  87
Surface wnd dir.S   SE  S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.7   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  14  14  15  16

$$
Forecaster...Charles Dalton
Requested by...LE Park Ranger Travis Hall
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414371.0/MRX
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL grsm_dispatch@nps.gov