Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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106
FNUS51 KBUF 090234
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered light showers will wind down through the early overnight
hours east of Lake Ontario as low pressure pulls east into New
England. Otherwise, high pressure will nose in from the northwest
providing mainly dry weather tonight through at least the first half
of Thursday, before shower chances slowly increase toward the
Pennsylvania state line Thursday afternoon. This will be the start
of another fairly unsettled weather pattern that will impact the
region for the end of the work week into this weekend as a series of
low pressure systems cross the region.

NYZ201-090800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1033 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     50            0           60           70
Precip type                   Showers         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       44           61           45           58
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                     NE  7
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  7        NE  7        NE  7        NE  8
Precip amount                    0.04         0.00         0.13         0.18
Precip duration                     1                         5           10
Precip begin                     6 PM                      7 PM   Continuing
Precip end                       8 PM                Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42          100           51
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         7300           70         6990
Transport wind (kt)              W 23        NE 10        NE 11        NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1610        73000          770        69900
Dispersion Index                    2           73            1           70
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-090800-
Southern Tier-
1033 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0           40           70           70
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       45           60           44           57
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                     NE  8
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  9        NE  7        NE  8         N  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.03         0.25         0.27
Precip duration                                  1            8            8
Precip begin                                  3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               99           47          100           52
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        4980           70         7840
Transport wind (kt)             NW 15        NE  9        NE 12        NE 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        44820          840       101920
Dispersion Index                    0           45            1          102
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 70.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$