913
FXUS62 KFFC 021741
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
141 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024



...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 428 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Cirrus is currently over the area according to satellite. Overall
expecting a pretty normal day with an afternoon cumulus field and
temps in the upper 80s. The ridging set in place over the area moves
to the east Friday with a trough to our west. As this trough moves
further west, we start to see the beginnings of shower and
thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon and evening. With temps close
to 90, there will be ample instability to result in thunderstorms.
Although thunderstorms are not expected to be severe, cannot rule
out some strong wind gusts with any of the stronger storms.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 428 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

At a glance:

- Showers and thunderstorms across much of north and central Georgia
on Saturday will help keep temps closer to normal.

- Habanero temps next week

The long term picks up as an inverted trough makes a ripple in what
has been otherwise zonal flow for the past few days. This will be
the trigger we need to get showers and thunderstorms going across
much of the CWA. A few storms could have frequent lightning and some
gust winds, but the severe threat remains low at this time. Rainfall
totals are expected to be less than half an inch as the system is
set to push out quickly once the front arrives.

Beside the brief shot of rain, and the cooler low temp on Sunday
morning the atmosphere rebounds pretty quickly as we start next
week. Highs on Monday will be in the mid to upper 80s and will
continue to climb through the week. A few afternoon thunderstorms
are possible Sunday and Monday but otherwise should be a great week
to spend time outside.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the remainder of the day, with
a cu field around 050-060 in place underneath passing upper cirrus
clouds. Winds will be primarily SE at 4-8 kts this afternoon and
through the overnight hours. Winds will are forecast to shift to
SW at 5-10 kts by late Friday morning, around 15Z. Precipitation
will enter far north Georgia by Friday morning and advance
southward through the day. VCSH is being carried starting at 17Z
at ATL, with a PROB30 for -SHRA from 18-00Z on Friday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on timing of precipitation and wind shift.
High confidence on all other elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          63  84  63  80 /   0  40  60  80
Atlanta         66  83  65  80 /  10  50  60  80
Blairsville     60  77  59  74 /  10  60  70  80
Cartersville    64  84  62  80 /  20  50  60  80
Columbus        66  87  67  85 /  10  30  40  60
Gainesville     64  81  64  77 /   0  50  60  80
Macon           65  87  65  82 /   0  30  40  80
Rome            64  84  63  81 /  30  60  70  80
Peachtree City  65  84  64  81 /  10  40  60  70
Vidalia         65  89  67  82 /   0  20  30  70

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...King