Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 030726
PMDHI

Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
325 AM EDT Fri May 03 2024

Valid 00Z Sat May 04 2024 - 00Z Sat May 11 2024

Surface highs strengthening and consolidating to the north of
Hawaii will favor breezy to locally strong trade flow through the
weekend into early next week. Meanwhile model guidance remains in
fairly good agreement and a favored composite shows a mid-upper
trough/low centered west of Hawaii late week and then coming
overhead by early next week. This could provide some instability
for increased showers, which would favor windward and mauka areas
given the increasing trades. Slightly above average moisture
anomalies may peak around Monday-Tuesday. Rainfall totals do not
appear to be significantly high though. This wet trade wind
pattern looks to continue into much of next week, though trades
may decrease slightly later next week.

Schichtel

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