Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 290028
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Paynes Prairie Basin burn 4/29/2024...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
828 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2100 EDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and dry conditions will continue Monday as high pressure
remains to the north of the area . Winds from the east to
southeast through Monday will range from 10 to 15 mph by the
early afternoon, and weaken again by Monday evening. Temperatures
in the upper 60s will gradually rise to top out in the upper 80s
by mid afternoon. Elevated dispersions will begin to lower by mid
afternoon Monday. The next chance of showers on Tuesday afternoon
as the Gulf and Atlantic seabreezes move inland.


.MONDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  7   2   0   0   1   10  18  20  19  17  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  58  62  69  74  79  81  83  86  86  87  87
RH..............96  100 90  72  62  53  49  45  39  39  38  39
Heat index (F)..58  58  62  68  73  77  79  82  83  85  84  85
Wind chill (F)..58  58  62  68  73  77  79  82  83  85  85  85
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   7   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   10  13  13  13  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.9 3.8 5.1 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  12  12  12  10  9   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..4   4   9   26  52  70  73  69  63  58  56  59
LVORI...........8   8   5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.MONDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  35  31  28  24  19  18  17  17  24  32  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  83  78  74  72  70  68  67  66  65  64  63
RH..............41  47  56  64  71  76  81  84  87  90  93  97
Heat index (F)..84  82  78  74  72  70  68  67  66  65  64  63
Wind chill (F)..84  82  78  74  72  70  68  67  66  65  64  63
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  10  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  14  16  16  16  16  14  13  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 2.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   12  13  13  13  12  10  9   9   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..52  39  9   9   8   8   7   6   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   7

.TUESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  23  15  15  16  16  24  31  38  38  39  39
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RN  RN  RN  RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Temp............63  63  65  69  75  80  83  85  86  87  87  87
RH..............100 100 97  87  71  62  55  50  46  45  45  45
Heat index (F)..63  63  65  69  75  82  85  86  87  88  88  88
Wind chill (F)..63  63  65  69  75  80  83  85  86  87  87  87
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.1 2.0 2.9 3.8 4.7 5.7 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
Dispersion idx..4   4   11  21  28  34  41  48  54  51  48  46
LVORI...........9   9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Cruz
Requested by...Park Manager
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412661.0/JAX
.DELDT 04/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.patton@dep.state.fl.us