Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 281032
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for PCS Scottside/fletcher...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
532 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure will remain over the area this morning before
drifting eastward through Friday. This will provide mostly dry conditions
along with little in the way of cloud cover. Winds will be S/SW through
much of the period and are expected to increase on Friday.

.TODAY...

Max temperature.....52 at ignition...Max 67.
Min humidity........59 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Dispersion..........8 increasing to 22 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....65.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7198 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6200 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  57  59  62  64  65  66  67
RH..............59  51  45  43  40  40  37  37
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   5   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.4   6   6   7   8   8   10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 49.
Max humidity........Max 74 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........20 decreasing to 11 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Category Day........2.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  64  61  56  54  53  52  51  51  50  50  50
RH..............41  45  49  59  64  66  66  68  68  68  68  68
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   7   6   7   7   7   7   8   9   12  12  13
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   10  10  10  10  11  13  16  18  19
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  14  15  16
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 73.
Min humidity........Min 41 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 25 mph shifting to the southwest 24
                    to 29 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Dispersion..........29 increasing to 76.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....70.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5433 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  49  51  54  60  64  66  70  71  71  73  71
RH..............68  74  71  71  62  54  50  44  42  44  41  44
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  16  17  17  16  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.17  18  22  25  26  26  25  23  23  24  24  23
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  18  22  25  28  29  28  28  28  29  28  24
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...J Hood
Requested by...Eric Stuart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408648.1/LZK
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Eric.stuart@usda.gov


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