Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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601
FNUS74 KMOB 071230
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Salt 2...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
730 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 81 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather should persist today through Tuesday as high pressure
remains in place along the Gulf Coast through Tuesday. Southerly
transport winds will persist today and tomorrow along with mixing
heights nearing 6kft this afternoon dropping to around 5kft on
Wednesday afternoon. Dispersions over the burn area will be
good this afternoon and generally good on Wednesday afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will be possible
for another hour or so this morning with visibilities of 2 miles
or greater. Patchy fog will again be possible late tonight into
early Wednesday morning. Visibilities should remain greater than 4
miles in any patchy fog late tonight into early Wednesday morning.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...457-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....28 increasing to 55 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 81 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 72 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  59  56  49  43  36  36  36  36  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  78  83  85  88  89  91  91  90  89
RH..............90  79  65  59  52  48  45  45  47  48
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.9   12  14  15  17  18  18  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.9 3.7 4.7 5.2 5.4 5.7 5.8 4.9 4.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.12  15  15  15  16  17  16  16  16  16
Trans wind dir..S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).5   7   7   7   7   8   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..28  51  59  80  79  83  80  73  70  70
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph decreasing to around 7 mph
                    early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second decreasing to around
                    3 meters/second early in the morning.
Dispersion index....70 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  26  25  25  24  37  49  62  66  71  75  76
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............87  83  80  78  75  74  73  72  72  71  71  71
RH..............53  61  69  74  84  87  90  93  93  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.16  15  14  14  13  12  10  9   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  16  14  14  13  13  12  12  9   9   9   7
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   3
Dispersion idx..70  11  10  9   8   7   8   7   6   6   6   5
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   4   5   7   7   8   8   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph increasing to around 17 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 69.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  77  75  73  71  62  52  43  41  38  36  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  72  76  81  84  88  90  91  92  93  92  90
RH..............100 97  85  72  65  55  52  49  47  46  47  50
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   8   9   9   10  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   10  13  15  16  18  20  21  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   9   13  14  15  15  16  17  17  17  17  17
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..5   8   28  39  49  53  70  70  70  69  68  68
LVORI...........9   8   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Kevin Mock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413334.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.k.mock@usda.gov