Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 220030
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
830 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Late afternoon thunderstorms developed along the sea breeze
boundary. Storms are mainly stationary, but drifting to the
west. The stalled boundary will start to lift back to the
north as high pressure ridges over the boundary tonight,
then another low pressure system will push into the region
for later Sunday through Monday. Have adjusted pops a bit
for the overnight period, but everything else is on track,
and will update for these changes.

&&

.AVIATION...
Showers/storms will drift west and dissipate over the next
hour. Winds will then become more easterly with some MVFR
ceilings developing around 08z. Winds increase and turn to
the SE after sunrise with the ceilings lifting back to VFR,
then a sea breeze turns winds onshore in the later
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Evening sea breeze thunderstorms will push offshore and
dissipate. The SCEC will continue over the northern offshore
coastal waters. Weak ridging will build into the waters
tonight, then a low pressure system moves in for later
Sunday through Monday bringing showers and thunderstorms
across the area. Current forecast is on track and have
little change for the update.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  70  81  71  82 /  40  40  20  50
FMY  70  86  71  86 /  20  40  20  50
GIF  69  81  69  85 /  50  60  50  70
SRQ  70  78  70  83 /  20  30  10  40
BKV  67  82  68  82 /  50  50  30  50
SPG  71  84  71  82 /  40  30  10  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR...27/Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...74/Wynn


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