Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 261951
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
351 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

...Scattered showers Sunday afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...Another round of afternoon showers and a few
thunderstorms is expected tomorrow...especially east of I-75.
Quieter weather will return Monday as high pressure again builds
into the area. Temperatures will continue to be well above
normal...and well above critical thresholds. RH values could creep
close to critical thresholds with the warm temperatures...but
winds will remain light.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-270815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
351 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                    of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
351 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
351 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (910).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-270815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
351 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1210).
Mixing Height.......7800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (500).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 0 mph increasing to east
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
351 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. isolated thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1260).
Mixing Height.......8700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (470).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AM



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