151
FNUS53 KDTX 182014
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
414 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions today bring minimum RH values into the
40s this afternoon, and into the 30s across the Tri-Cities.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms return tomorrow afternoon and
evening as a warm and humid airmass moves in. This will increase
minimum RH values between 40 to 50 percent through Tuesday as
daytime temperatures hold above normal in the 80s with overnight
lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Active weather stretch continues
early to middle of next week with daily chances for precipitation.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
414 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (479).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5030-5530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (825).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-182130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
414 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming northeast early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4280-4780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming northeast early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (440).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5120-5620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (798).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
414 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5220-5720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (490).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....82-88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5640-6140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (856).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

AA