Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
921
FNUS52 KILM 051925
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur through early this
week due to the combination of several upper level disturbances,
diurnal heating, and the daily sea breeze. Dry high pressure will
build overhead late Tuesday with well above normal temperatures
Tuesday through Thursday. A cold front will bring showers and
thunderstorm ahead of it Late Thursday into Friday with much
cooler temperatures into the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-061130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 87
Max/Min RH (%) 99 65 99 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 5 SW 7 G17 SW 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 8 G18 SW 5 SW 11 G21
Precip Amount 0.03 0.10 0.05 0.09
Precip Duration 1 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0800 2000 67/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5800
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69700 121800
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 69 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 59 Gen Good 11 Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 86 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-061130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 70 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 65 84 65 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 5 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.04 0.14 0.10 0.10
Precip Duration 1 3 4 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0800 1900 67/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75000 119700
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 39 Fair 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 10 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 84 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-061130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 70 70 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 65 84 65 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 8 SW 6 SW 11 G19
Precip Amount 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.07
Precip Duration 2 3 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 3 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 67/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76500 121000
ADI Early 26 Fair 44 Gen Good 24 Fair 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 60 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 6 5
Max LVORI Late 8 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-061130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 50 60 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 87
Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 100 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 4 S 5 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 SW 4 SW 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.04 0.25 0.14 0.07
Precip Duration 1 2 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 1900 67/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5600
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 95200
ADI Early 35 Fair 49 Gen Good 33 Fair 64 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 10 Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 85 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-061130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 70 70 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 64 84 64 87
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 SW 4 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.07 0.22 0.14 0.07
Precip Duration 1 3 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 10 PM Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 66/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 116000
ADI Early 28 Fair 54 Gen Good 22 Fair 63 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 63 Good 10 Poor 88 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8 7
Max LVORI Late 9 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-061130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 70 60 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 66 100 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 5 S 5 SW 8
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 SW 5 SW 11
Precip Amount 0.06 0.20 0.17 0.06
Precip Duration 1 3 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 66/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 121800
ADI Early 26 Fair 43 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 51 Gen Good 10 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 7 7
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ