Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS54 KMRX 261934
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Subtropical storm Alberto in the Gulf of Mexico will
migrate northward through the Memorial Day weekend, spreading
abundant moisture across the region and helping to keep the area in
a wet pattern. Expect to see warm and humid afternoons, with periods
of showers and thunderstorms through the holiday weekend and much of
the coming week.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (0)    78-83 (+5)   62-67        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  56-61 (-10)  95-100       59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           40           50
Precip duration       2            2            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.27         0.08         0.10
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3900                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  5                     E  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 30000                     22500
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               10 Poor
Max LVORI                          5                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    74-79 (+4)   60-65        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  58-63 (-9)   95-100       66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           50           60
Precip duration       2            2            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.11         0.36         0.03         0.18
LAL                   4            3            3            4
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3200                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      E  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 36000                     28200
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               9 Poor
Max LVORI                          5                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  5        E  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to mid 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-272045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    74-79 (+4)   60-65        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  59-64 (-8)   92-97        65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           50           60
Precip duration       2            2            1            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.19         0.32         0.11         0.24
LAL                   3            3            4            4
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                S  5                      E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 28000                     58800
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               18 Gen poor
Max LVORI                          6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        S  5         LGT/VAR      E  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-272045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-1)   77-82 (+1)   62-67        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  60-65 (-1)   95-100       63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           50           60
Precip duration       2            2            2            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.20         0.22         0.27         0.27
LAL                   4            3            4            4
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  6                     E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 29400                     55200
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               25 Fair
Max LVORI                          5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        E  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-272045-
Nantahala National Forest-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-1)   76-81 (0)    61-66        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (0)    95-100       65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           60
Precip duration       2            2            2            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.21         0.20         0.31         0.31
LAL                   4            3            4            4
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3000                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  7                     E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 36400                     58800
Dispersion                         19 Gen poor               27 Fair
Max LVORI                          5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      E  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272045-
East Tennessee District East-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (0)    79-84 (+4)   63-68        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-8)   93-98        62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           60           40           50
Precip duration       1            2            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.28         0.08         0.14
LAL                   3            3            3            4
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3600                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                S  3                      E  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 15300                     32800
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   17 Gen poor
Max LVORI                          5                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272045-
East Tennessee District West-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-1)   80-85 (+3)   64-69        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  56-61 (-5)   94-99        61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           60           40           50
Precip duration       1            2            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.10         0.23         0.11         0.16
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3900                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                S  2                      E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 10400                     50400
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    28 Fair
Max LVORI                          6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 70s to mid 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272045-
Cumberland District South-
334 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018 /234 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-1)   80-85 (+2)   64-69        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  56-61 (-4)   95-100       61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           60           50           60
Precip duration       1            2            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.18         0.19         0.19
LAL                   4            3            3            4
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3400                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 23000                     58800
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               37 Fair
Max LVORI                          5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
70s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 80s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.